Scientists can track origin of shark fins using 'zip codes' in their DNA

An international team of scientists, led by the Institute for Ocean Conservation Science at Stony Brook University, has used DNA to determine that groups of dusky sharks (Carcharhinus obscurus) and copper sharks (Carcharhinus brachyurus) living in different coastal regions across the globe are separate populations of each species. Both are large apex predators that are heavily exploited for the shark fin trade, which claims tens of millions of animals every year to produce the Asian delicacy, shark fin soup. Many of these species are declining as a result of this fishing pressure for their fins. The dusky shark is classified as "Endangered" in the Western Atlantic by the International Union for Conservation of Nature as its population is below 20 percent of what it was two decades ago. These new studies show that the genetic differences among populations of these sharks are large enough for scientists to be able to track the actual origin of the fins on sale in Asian markets, enabling better regional monitoring and management of these threatened predators.

These research findings appear in two scientific articles. "Global phylogeography of the dusky shark, Carcharhinus obscurus: implications for fisheries management and monitoring the shark fin trade," has been published online in the journal Endangered Species Research. "Phylogeography of the copper shark (Carcharhinus brachyurus) in the southern hemisphere: implications for the conservation of a coastal apex predator" will soon be published in the journal Marine and Freshwater Research. The primary objective of these studies was to identify any genetic differences among regional groups of dusky and copper sharks and establish how many distinct populations there are. The second objective was to determine if these population differences were great enough to allow scientists to reconstruct their contributions to fin trade in the future. Like many large sharks, these species have a wide distribution around the globe but are tied to coastal areas for reproduction.

"By analyzing part of the genome that is inherited solely through the mother, we were able to detect differences between sharks living along different continents – in effect, their DNA zip codes," said Dr. Demian Chapman, leader of the research team and assistant director of science of the Institute for Ocean Conservation Science. "This research shows that adult females faithfully give birth along the continental region where they were born. If fished too much, the population will collapse, and it is extremely unlikely that it will be replenished from immigration of sharks from another region."

This is precisely what has happened along the U.S. Eastern Seaboard, where the once common dusky shark is now rare and a species of concern for listing under the Endangered Species Act. At one time, these animals were common in ocean waters off the United States; however, a recent stock assessment of the sharks along the U.S. East Coast and in the Gulf of Mexico showed an 80 percent decline even though they have been protected since 2000. The recovery of the species is extremely slow because the average age of maturity is 20 years, its reproductive cycle only occurs every three years – including a two-year pregnancy – and its litter size is relatively small (three to 14 offspring).

"Here in the United States, it took only a few decades to nearly wipe out our dusky sharks, and it will probably take a few centuries for their stocks to be replenished," said Martin Benavides, lead author of both studies and research assistant at the Institute for Ocean Conservation Science. "Our results dash any hopes that dusky sharks from other areas of the world will replenish the depleted U.S. stock. The sight of a dusky shark swimming off our shores will be a rare experience for generations to come."

"We know very little about the shark fin trade, but by using DNA-zip coding we can identify source populations that are contributing most to the trade, and prioritize them for management," added Dr. Chapman. "We, therefore, really need to establish sampling programs of fins on their way to Asia or in the markets to regulate the global trade before many more populations suffer the fate of the dusky shark in the United States."

For years, it was difficult to determine the origin of these fins and whether they were from threatened species. A study by Dr. Chapman, which was published in 2009 , used DNA testing to trace scalloped hammerhead shark fins from the Hong Kong market all the way back to the sharks' geographic origin and found many came from collapsed Western Atlantic populations.* These new research results demonstrate that this type of testing also can be used to trace the origins of the fins of dusky and copper sharks.

"As apex predators at the top of marine food webs, it is essential for ocean health that we take steps, such as monitoring and regulating the fin trade, to protect these large sharks," said Dr. Ellen K. Pikitch, executive director of the Institute for Ocean Conservation Science.

Both research projects were conducted by a collaborative international team of scientists from the United States, Australia, South America, Asia, New Zealand and southern Africa. The scientists collectively analyzed part of the mitochondrial DNA in nearly 400 sharks sampled from all over the globe.


stonybrook.edu

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How do white blood cells detect invaders to destroy?

Sinai Medical Center have discovered how a molecular receptor on the surface of white blood cells identifies when invading fungi have established direct contact with the cell surface and pose an infectious threat. The receptor called Dectin-1, studied in the laboratory of David Underhill, PhD, an associate professor in Cedars-Sinai's Inflammatory Bowel and Immunobiology Research Institute, detects fungi and instructs white blood cells whether to expend the energy needed to devour the invading pathogens. The findings are featured as the cover story in the April 28 edition of Nature.

Although scientists long have theorized how immune cells recognize microbial debris sloughed from invading organisms at some distance from themselves, this study establishes a model to explain how immune cells determine when pathogens are directly in contact with their surface and thus pose a significantly greater risk, demanding rapid destruction.

The study is important because it moves scientists one step closer to understanding the mysteries of how our bodies mount an immune response to fight disease.

In early stages of infection, white blood cells patrol the body looking for invading pathogens. Dectin-1, a receptor on the surface of white blood cells, recognizes specific components of fungal cell walls, and alerts or "switches on" the immune cells to prepare to fight the infection.

"Our lab has been studying Dectin-1, which directs white blood cells to eat and kill the fungi that they encounter directly, but to ignore soluble material sloughed off of the fungal surface which does not pose an immediate threat," said Helen Goodridge, PhD, first author on the study and a researcher in the laboratory headed by Underhill. "This is important because phagocytosis and anti-microbial defense responses are energy-intensive and destructive, and should only be used when absolutely necessary."

During phagocytosis, a white blood cell encounters a microbe, engulfs it, and eats it. Once inside the cell, the microbe can be killed using a combination of degradative enzymes, highly reactive chemicals, and an acidic environment.

A molecular structure that the Underhill lab calls a "phagocytic synapse" forms at the surface of the white blood cell when Dectin-1 detects fungi. As a phagocytic synapse forms, two inhibitory proteins that block transmission of signals inside the white blood cell are pushed aside. This allows Dectin-1 to instruct the cell to respond. The phagocytic synapse does not form when Dectin-1 encounters soluble fungal debris, so the white blood cell does not respond.

"The phagocytic synapse resembles another molecular structure, the 'immunological synapse.' It is critical at later stages of an immune response," said Underhill. "It appears that the phagocytic synapse may be an evolutionary precursor of the immunological synapse."


csmc.edu

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NASA's Swift and Hubble probe asteroid collision debris

Late last year, astronomers noticed an asteroid named Scheila had unexpectedly brightened, and it was sporting short-lived plumes. Data from NASA's Swift satellite and Hubble Space Telescope showed these changes likely occurred after Scheila was struck by a much smaller asteroid. "Collisions between asteroids create rock fragments, from fine dust to huge boulders, that impact planets and their moons," said Dennis Bodewits, an astronomer at the University of Maryland in College Park and lead author of the Swift study. "Yet this is the first time we've been able to catch one just weeks after the smash-up, long before the evidence fades away."


 
Asteroids are rocky fragments thought to be debris from the formation and evolution of the solar system approximately 4.6 billion years ago. Millions of them orbit the sun between Mars and Jupiter in the main asteroid belt. Scheila is approximately 70 miles across and orbits the sun every five years.

"The Hubble data are most simply explained by the impact, at 11,000 mph, of a previously unknown asteroid about 100 feet in diameter," said Hubble team leader David Jewitt at the University of California in Los Angeles. Hubble did not see any discrete collision fragments, unlike its 2009 observations of P/2010 A2, the first identified asteroid collision.


 
The studies will appear in the May 20 edition of The Astrophysical Journal Letters and are available online.

Astronomers have known for decades that comets contain icy material that erupts when warmed by the sun. They regarded asteroids as inactive rocks whose destinies, surfaces, shapes and sizes were determined by mutual impacts. However, this simple picture has grown more complex over the past few years.

During certain parts of their orbits, some objects, once categorized as asteroids, clearly develop comet-like features that can last for many months. Others display much shorter outbursts. Icy materials may be occasionally exposed, either by internal geological processes or by an external one, such as an impact.

On Dec. 11, 2010, images from the University of Arizona's Catalina Sky Survey, a project of NASA's Near Earth Object Observations Program, revealed Scheila to be twice as bright as expected and immersed in a faint comet-like glow. Looking through the survey's archived images, astronomers inferred the outburst began between Nov. 11 and Dec. 3.

Three days after the outburst was announced, Swift's Ultraviolet/Optical Telescope (UVOT) captured multiple images and a spectrum of the asteroid. Ultraviolet sunlight breaks up the gas molecules surrounding comets; water, for example, is transformed into hydroxyl and hydrogen. But none of the emissions most commonly identified in comets, such as hydroxyl or cyanogen, show up in the UVOT spectrum. The absence of gas around Scheila led the Swift team to reject scenarios where exposed ice accounted for the activity.

Images show the asteroid was flanked in the north by a bright dust plume and in the south by a fainter one. The dual plumes formed as small dust particles excavated by the impact were pushed away from the asteroid by sunlight. Hubble observed the asteroid's fading dust cloud on Dec. 27, 2010, and Jan. 4, 2011.

The two teams found the observations were best explained by a collision with a small asteroid impacting Scheila's surface at an angle of less than 30 degrees, leaving a crater 1,000 feet across. Laboratory experiments show a more direct strike probably wouldn't have produced two distinct dust plumes. The researchers estimated the crash ejected more than 660,000 tons of dust -- equivalent to nearly twice the mass of the Empire State Building.

"The dust cloud around Scheila could be 10,000 times as massive as the one ejected from comet 9P/Tempel 1 during NASA's UMD-led Deep Impact mission," said co-author Michael Kelley, also at the University of Maryland. "Collisions allow us to peek inside comets and asteroids. Ejecta kicked up by Deep Impact contained lots of ice, and the absence of ice in Scheila's interior shows that it's entirely unlike comets."



nasa.gov

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The nation's weather

A low pressure system was bringing more rain to the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest on Saturday, while the East Coast remained dry and sunny.

A low that moved from the Pacific Northwest and over the Northern Rockies was expected to persist on its eastward track moving into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. Flow around this system was forecast to pull moisture in from the Gulf of Mexico, which would create favorable conditions for thunderstorm activity.

Strong winds with gusts up to 40 mph were likely, in addition to large hail. Most areas were forecast to see between half an inch and an inch of rain, while areas of thunderstorm activity will see up to 2 inches of rain.

At the same time, a cold front was forecast to develop south of this system, stretching from the Upper Midwest and into the Southern Plains. Thunderstorm activity was also likely along the front, due to the warm and humid conditions ahead of the cold front.

Behind this system, a cold pool of air lingering over the Rockies was expected to produce more late-season snow showers over Wyoming, Montana, Colorado, and Utah.

In the East, another sunny, warm, and dry day was forecast as a large ridge of high pressure dominates the East Coast. This system will sit east of the Mississippi, bringing pleasant spring weather to the eastern third of the nation.

Temperatures in the Lower 48 states Friday ranged from a morning low of 7 degrees at Stanley, Idaho, to a high of 97 degrees at Fort Stockton, Texas.


The Associated Press

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NASA Delays Last Launch of Shuttle Endeavour Due to Malfunction

CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. – NASA called off its attempt to launch the final voyage of the space shuttle Endeavour today (April 29) because of a malfunction in one of the spacecraft's critical power units.

"It's unfortunate for the [Endeavour] team and Mark Kelly and his crew, but today the orbiter's not ready to fly, and as we always say in this business, we will not fly before we're ready," launch director Mike Leinbach said.

Two heaters on one of Endeavour's auxiliary power units, which power hydraulics systems on the shuttle during its return to Earth, failed this morning, rendering the unit useless.

"The troubleshooting proved that it was a hard failure," Leinbach said. "We were not able to get it to come to life no matter what we did."

Mission managers decided to delay at least 72 hours to look into the source of the problem.

The next chance to launch Endeavour comes Monday (May 2) at 2:33 p.m. EDT (1733 GMT) from Launch Pad 39A here at Kennedy Space Center. [Photos: Shuttle Endeavour's Final Voyage]

Keeping within the launch window

NASA has through May 4 to continue trying to fly Endeavour. After that, the shuttle must stand down to allow an unmanned Atlas 5 rocket to launch from the nearby Cape Canaveral Air Force Station on May 6. NASA can pick back up again trying to launch Endeavour May 9 or May 10.

"We look like we've got a good shot to keep trying here," said Mike Moses, chair of the shuttle's mission management team.

NASA called off today's launch at 12:19 p.m. EDT, after Endeavour was fully fueled and the astronauts were suited up in their bright orange launch and entry suits.

The launch delay likely disappointed the throngs of spectators that flooded the launch viewing sites around the Kennedy Space Center with hopes of seeing one of NASA's final space shuttle launches before the 30-year-old shuttle fleet is retired for good later this year. The space agency expected up to 750,000 spectators for Endeavour's launch.

"Obviously we would have very much loved to have seen Endeavour lifting off this afternoon, but that wasn’t to be the case," Bob Cabana, director of Kennedy Space Center, said in a press conference Friday afternoon. "Safety always comes first."

Among the disappointed hopeful viewers of the launch are President Barack Obama and his family, who were planning to watch Friday's shuttle liftoff. There's no word yet on whether Obama will still attend the next launch attempt.

Many thousands of others will also have to postpone their shuttle-viewing plans. Florida's Space Coast was expecting an influx of tourist revenue from the roughly three-quarters of a million visitors.

Endeavour's final mission

The space shuttle Endeavour is slated to carry six astronauts, a $2 billion astrophysics experiment, and a load of spare parts to the International Space Station. The 14-day flight will feature four ambitious spacewalks outside the orbiting laboratory. [Video: Endeavour's Final Mission]

Endeavour's veteran crew will be led by Mark Kelly, husband of wounded Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords, D-Ariz. Giffords, who is recovering from a bullet wound she received during a January mass shooting outside a Tucson grocery store. Giffords is here at Kennedy Space Center to watch her husband launch into space.

NASA is retiring its space shuttle program after just two more missions to make way for a future exploration plan aimed at sending astronauts to visit an asteroid by 2025. After Endeavour's final flight, NASA will launch the Atlantis orbiter on the last-ever shuttle mission — a flight that is currently slated to lift off on June 28.

All three of NASA's spaceworthy shuttles, as well as the prototype Enterprise which never flew in space, will be retired to museums for public display. Endeavour will retire to the California Science Center in Los Angeles, with the other three vehicles going to museums along the U.S. East Coast. 


space.com

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Scientists investigate twisters like detectives

TUSCALOOSA, Ala. – Weather scientists are retracing the footprints of this week's monstrous tornadoes the way detectives would investigate a crime scene: talking to witnesses, watching surveillance video and even taking the measurements of the trees ripped from the ground.
The result will be a meteorological autopsy report on the disaster, revealing once and for all how many twisters developed and how powerful they were.
"First priority is finding the dead and taking care of the injured and getting utilities back up," said John Snow, dean emeritus of the College of Atmospheric and Geographic Sciences at the University of Oklahoma. "But in parallel to that, we want to get as much data and find as much data as we can."

Researchers have to be on the scene fast — usually within days — to keep the scientific evidence as fresh as possible, Snow said.
In one of its first official assessments of the tornadoes' strength, the National Weather Service on Friday gave the worst possible rating to the one that raked Mississippi and said it was the strongest to hit the state since 1966.
With at least 318 confirmed dead, Wednesday's outbreak surpassed a series of tornadoes in 1974 to become the deadliest day for twisters since 1932. The storm eight decades ago was also in Alabama.
As they survey damage from the ground and air, researchers from the weather service and the national Storm Prediction Center are asking questions about the buildings that were destroyed. Were they brick or wood or a combination? Were they secured to a slab or set on concrete blocks? What type of roofs did they have?
Answers to those questions will help explain how the strong the twisters were. For example, a mobile home will be completely demolished by winds of 110 to 135 mph. But a well-built home can withstand much stronger winds.
Scientists might even ask families if they left the garage door open. An open door lets wind inside, where it can push on walls and the roof with tremendous pressure.
Walt Zaleski, a warning coordination meteorologist for the weather service's southern regional headquarters in Fort Worth, Texas, likened a roof with a large overhang to a baseball cap with a brim: Wind blowing in your face will press on the brim and lift the hat off. The same can happen with a house.
In Tuscaloosa's ruined Cedar Crest neighborhood, the storm uprooted massive oaks and Scotch pines, exposing root systems the size of small swimming pools. A refrigerator landed in the crook of a broken tree, 10 feet off the ground.
Justin Johnson, a college student at the University of Alabama, was showering when he heard the twister approaching. He ran out of the shower and yelled to a housemate, "What do we do? What do we do?"
But there wasn't enough time to do anything except lie down on the living room floor as the tornado ripped off part of the back end of the house. Three people who lived next door perished. All that remained of their house was a foundation.
Like others here, Johnson was not surprised to hear scientists saying it could be one of the most powerful tornadoes on record, possibly an EF-5, the highest category on a scale for measuring wind intensity.
"If this isn't an EF-5 tornado," he said Friday, "I would hate to see what an EF-5 tornado looks like."
As of Friday, weather service teams had not found any tornado paths that were rated less than an EF-3, with winds of 140 to 150 mph.
Jim Stefkovich, the meteorologist in charge of the agency's Birmingham office, said he believes there are pockets of greater damage yet to be examined.
Zaleski compared the scientific investigation of the storms to assembling a million-piece puzzle.
"It's very complex," said Zaleski, who has been participating in such analyses since the 1970s. "We will try to reconstruct and determine the intensity of the tornedoes," along with their width, path and other details.
The task is so big, he said, that he is calling fellow meteorologists out of retirement to help, hoping their 30 or 40 years of experience will provide an extra level of expertise.
Assessing damage becomes more complicated as investigators move along the track of a tornado. Once structures start to break apart, the wind collects debris "and you have a moving grinder that impacts all downstream structures," he said.
Investigators will also try to determine whether the storms that hit Tuscaloosa and other places were a single tornado crisscrossing the entire state of Alabama or more than one.
If it was a single twister, it would be one of the longest on record, rivaling a 1925 tornado that raged for 219 miles.
Sometimes one tornado follows into areas where an earlier twister has already passed, making it hard to determine which damage was caused by which tornado.
In addition, a large disaster tends to produce duplicate reports of the same twisters, which can be further complicated by tornadoes with multiple funnels.
People associate the most severe damage with tornados, but thunderstorms can generate two kinds of damaging winds, the straight-line downburst and the more sensational twisting tornado, Zaleski explained.
A downburst will often cause the same damage as a tornado, he said, with winds of 100 to 120 mph.
When their assessment is complete, scientists will combine on-the-ground data with the atmospheric conditions to build databases that connect individual tornado reports with the storms that may have produced them. Then they look at how the storms were affected by environmental conditions such as moisture levels.
The picture that emerges will help forecasters better understand how killer systems develop. The final report on the disaster will become a part of the National Climate Database — a vast historical record of the nation's most severe weather.
The last time a storm of this magnitude happened — in 1974 — researchers had much cruder technology. Now they are equipped with Doppler radar, sophisticated computer models and weather satellites taking pictures from above.
"To have an event of this magnitude with a modern integrated observing system like we have now is unique in the history of meteorology for a tornado forecaster," said Russell Schneider, director of the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Okla., which is run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Snow said researchers would be studying this storm for a long time. Scientists studied the 1974 disaster for 15 years.
"More than one Ph.D. thesis will come out of this," he said.

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Zap! More fish

Better brains make one fish, two fish, into lots and lots of fish.

After upgrading their ability to communicate using electrical signals, a group of African fish exploded into dozens of species. This may be the first study to show a link between central brain evolution and increasing species diversity, researchers report in the April 29 Science.

“The brain structure triggered an explosion of signals and an explosion of species as a result,” says Carl Hopkins, who studies neurobiology and animal behavior at Cornell University and was not involved in the new study.

Among mormyrid fish, conversation is literally buzzing. Using specialized electricity-emitting organs in their tails, these African natives string together short shocks into a primitive analog to Morse code, says study coauthor Bruce Carlson, a neuroecologist at Washington University in St. Louis. Mormyrids can’t discuss philosophy, but they can employ this rat-a-tat to send out some basic signals — for instance, “I’m interested in mating with you.” But not every electric fish species has the same grasp of the language, Carlson says.

From behavioral studies, the team demonstrated that some mormyrid species can sense and respond to small shifts in electric pulses. Others can’t. The difference appears to lie in a brain region called the exterolateral nucleus, which interprets electric communication. At some point — Carlson suspects about 50 million to 60 million years ago — this brain region in one group of electric fish got bigger and split in two. And for the most part, the researchers discovered, the descendants of these brain-boosted fish happen to be those with the better vocabulary. “It gives them the ability to detect very subtle changes in the shape of the electrical signal,” Carlson says.

Like humankind after the fall of the Tower of Babel, these new fish took their wider vocabulary and spread. In fact, they burst forth. Since they now understood a broader range of electric pulses, smarty-pants fish could have more varied conversations. The fish themselves diversified to take advantage of those new conversations, Carlson suspects. Based on an analysis of a subset of living mormyrids, the team concluded that fish with the upgrade diversified at a statistically faster rate. In all, 175 living species of electric fish carry the upgrade, while only 32 don’t.

But well-versed electric fish have more to them than just brains, says Curtis Bell, a neuroscientist at the Oregon Health & Science University in Portland. Less-literate fish have electricity sensors just on their heads, for instance, while well-versed fish have them all over. The sensors could have evolved first, and the brain just grew to catch up with the flow of information, Bell says. Carlson acknowledges that it would be difficult to determine which came first — the change in the sensors or in the brain. Regardless, he says the two systems evolved closely together, and the brain was a big part of the electric fish’s shocking expansion.



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DEET of the sea

 If you were to find yourself in the jungle without a mosquito net, slathering yourself in snot might be a good alternative. It works for fish: Scientists have discovered that some coral reef fish protect themselves from biting isopods, a marine equivalent of mosquitoes, by covering themselves in mucus before going to sleep at night.

Researchers had speculated that the reason certain parrot fish and wrasses envelop themselves each night with a big blob of mucus might be to protect against settling silt or to deter hungry predators such as moray eels. But definitive experiments were lacking. Now scientists from the University of Queensland in Australia have done the dirty work. The team placed parrot fish in plastic tubs and after midnight, when all the fish had made their mucus cocoons, the researchers gently scraped off the cocoons from half the fishes. Then the team introduced tiny parasitic isopods — blood-sucking crustaceans that are taxonomically closer to lice than to mosquitoes — into the tubs.

Tallying each fish’s blood-engorged parasites showed that the mucus acts as a slimy sea version of bug netting: 94 percent of fish without cocoons had bites, versus 10 percent of fish with intact cocoons. The cocoon-challenged fish also had far more bites on average than their counterparts, the researchers report in a paper to appear in Biology Letters.

Making the mucus cocoon, which begins at the fish’s mouth and envelops the entire body within an hour, is an efficient protection strategy, costing a mere 2.5 percent of the fishes’ daily energy budget, the researchers estimate. This is relatively cheap, compared with scraping yourself on rocks or sand, avoiding areas with parasites or seeking parasite-eating cleaner fish (which the fish do during waking hours).

Keeping bugs at bay is a new role for fish mucus — the thinner slime layer employed by some species appears to protect against UV rays and pollutants, or can aiding in maintaining the proper balance of electrolytes and fluids.



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Simple sugar effects aren’t necessarily simple, animal study suggests

WASHINGTON, D.C. New mouse data suggest that even among seemingly identical sugars, how they are delivered can exert subtle metabolic differences with long-term impacts on vitality -- and lifespan.

It’s comparatively easy to identify a substance that is acutely toxic, causing immediate sickness or death. More challenging – but also important – is recognizing whether dietary or environmental exposures compromise long-term health and fitness. Scientists at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City have developed a mouse assay to probe for such chronic risks, ones that might diminish lifespan or an animal’s ability to win a mate.

Instead of caging one or more similarly exposed animals, James Ruff, Wayne Potts and their Utah colleagues release animals with different exposures together within a semi-natural ecosystem. It’s a huge well-lit enclosure with a few mouse houses that offer dark seclusion. Within this environment, the animals eat at will, mate at will, fight at will or do whatever coexisting communities of mice do.

And with minimal interference from their minders. Electronic tags identify each animal so that off-site scientists can keep track digitally of where the rodents eat or sleep.

In the most recent experiment, the Utah biologists began feeding newly weaned, three-week-old mice a diet of healthy chow to which they added simple sugars. Overall, 25 percent of the rodents’ diet traced to these sugars.

Half of the mice received their sweets as sucrose, or table sugar – a molecule made of equal parts fructose and glucose. The other animals got their sugar as a mix of unbound fructose and glucose. After three months, five males and 10 females from each group were released together into each large enclosure for 200 days – essentially until the rodents were well into old age.

Female mice that had been reared on the unbound simple sugars experienced high rates of mortality, beginning 50 to 80 days after entering the enclosure. Their death rate was about triple that of sucrose-treated females, James Ruff and his colleagues reported April 11 at the Experimental Biology meeting.

The experiment was repeated five times, each time with the same result. What impaired the females' survival remains unknown, Ruff says. Autopsies didn’t reveal much, he adds, because his team generally enters an enclosure only about once every five weeks. So if a mouse died in one of the little community houses, of which there were four scattered around the enclosure, it could be days or even weeks before they were seen and retrieved for analysis. By then, serious decomposition would have masked markers of stress, hormone imbalances or other clues to their untimely demise.

But Ruff says one thing is suspicious. These early deaths started to occur in the females fed fructose-plus-glucose at about the time they were pregnant with their second litter. This was also just after they started to nurse their first babies. “So they’re under acute metabolic stress,” Ruff observes. And it appears that something about the separated-sugars diet compromised the moms’ vigor, relative to sucrose-reared neighbors.

That’s concerning, he adds, because the dual delivery of simple sugars in their diet somewhat mirrors the delivery of carbohydrates inhigh-fructose corn syrup (aka corn sugar), where its component sugars are delivered individually, Ruff says, not as sucrose with a little fructose bonus.

In a second experiment, Ruff and his colleagues fed their weanling mice a diet of the two simple sugars or an equal-calorie quantity of corn starch. After three months, these two groups of mice were united in the big enclosures for 200 days.

Here too, females that had been reared on the simple sugars experienced triple the rate of mortality seen in the other moms.

But in this experiment, sugar-fed males also suffered a disadvantage. They had a more difficult time fighting off competitors to win control of prime real estate – a little mouse house where their eventual family would be able to nest in comfortable darkness. The fallout from this: Sugar-reared males fathered only half as many babies, largely because most females rejected the non-dominant males as a potential mate.

Says Ruff, this suggests that being raised for the human equivalent of adolescence through early middle age on a diet of simple sugars may subtly impair health or behavior relative to diets comprised of more complex carbohydrates.

“Successful reproduction is the raison d'être for mice,” explains Potts. The enclosure-ecosystem assays that his group is pioneering allow scientists to identify “sensitive measures of toxicity,” he says, because these test environments “integrate the impacts of multiple physiological changes.” For instance, he notes, if some exposure renders one house hunter unable to take the proverbial keys to a secluded villa, his family will be forced out into the open where they’ll be vulnerable to predators. It’s in competition with other mice – especially ones that might have grown up under different conditions – that a house hunter proves his mettle. 

If the novel community-enclosure systems reveal an apparent reproductive vulnerability, the next step will be to home in on the cause through more conventional toxicological testing, Ruff says.

“I think it’s an interesting approach,” says John Vandenbergh, the former head of biology at North Carolina State University in Raleigh. This assay does “sort of give a global response – an end measure to a whole long series of physiological and behavioral adaptations to these diets.”

However, he adds, data acquired from such a system are unlikely to impress regulators, like risk-assessment analysts with the Food and Drug Administration. And the reason: “it’s just an end measurement – where the animals either die or they don’t breed.” Understanding the cause of health impacts is what really sways regulators, Vandenbergh says. But as an early screening test for possible adverse effects, he says, the new enclosure-system assay do hold interesting possibilities.



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An Europa Discovery Mission?

As I mentioned in my previous post, I recently heard that an Europa Discovery mission has been proposed for the current mission selection.  Assuming that I correctly heard the quickly made remark while listening to a meeting on the phone, it's fun to speculate what such a mission might look like.  My guess is that an orbital mission with the necessary radiation hardening and the complex (and expensive) mission operations for many gravity assists to enable final entry into orbit probably is not likely.

That would leave a multiple flyby mission as the likely proposal.  If a multiple Io flyby mission is compelling, then why not a multiple Europa flyby?  Such a mission would not provide all the information needed to select landing sites for future missions and would not come close to replicating the depth of science a Flagship Europa orbiter would provide.  During each flyby, however, such a mission could image the surface in greater resolution and coverage than the crippled Galileo orbiter was able to enhance our understanding of the processes shaping the surface.  It could carry a modern infrared spectrometer to analyze surface composition in greater spatial and spectral resolution to look for locations where subsurface ocean material may have been carried to the surface.  A radar sounder could measure the depth of the icy shell along the ground track below each flyby path.  A magnetometer would seem a likely instrument to measure the interaction of the ocean with Jupiter's magnetosphere and continue measurements begun by Galileo.

Two types of orbits around Jupiter might be considered.  The first might be a highly inclined orbit such as the one proposed for an Io multi-flyby mission that would avoid Jupiters equatorial radiation belts except for the brief time of each Europa flyby.  The second would be a Galileo-style equatorial orbit that just touches Europa's orbit at each perijove.  If this orbit was chosen, the spacecraft could also do multiple flybys of Ganymede and Callisto as an extended mission.

The kind of mission I've described would not replace dedicated orbiter for either Europa or Ganymede.  The option to continue study of the Galilean icy moons on a Discovery budget, however, might be compelling and could mean that we don't ignore these worlds in the coming decade.  The following charts from the Jupiter Europa Orbiter planning documents give an indication of the types of coverage that might be possible with a multi-flyby mission.  (The JEO mission is no longer feasible given its cost and NASA budgets.)  The JEO encounters with Europa were designed to pump the orbit around Jupiter down to enter orbit around Europa.  As a result, the encounters occur over the same equatorial real estate.  A mission designed to maximize science from flybys presumably would vary the encounter geometry with coverage more like what JEO would have done at Ganymede and Callisto.


Example of coverage from multiple flybys for four Io, six Europa, six Ganymede, and nine Callisto flybys from the planning for the Jupiter Europa Orbiter (JEO) mission.  The imager on a Discovery mission might be less capable than that planned for JEO and might image smaller portions of the moons at these resolutions.  All images from http://www.lpi.usra.edu/opag/feb2010/presentations/Senskev8.pdf


Example image resolutions for Europa from JEO flybys.


Example image resolution for Ganymede JEO flybys.

Editorial Thoughts: If a multi-flyby Europa Discovery mission were proposed, I worry about whether the science would be compelling enough to compete against missions proposed for other destinations.  A multi-flyby mission would advance our understanding of Europa, but might not answer the fundamental questions the science community has.  If not, then an eventual orbiter would still be needed.  The same arguments could be made about a multi-flyby Io mission or the proposed Journey to Enceladus and Titan Discovery mission.  In the case of Io, the radiation levels are so high that a follow on orbiter mission is all but inconceivable.  The question, then, is when to fly a multi-flyby mission.  In the case of JET, it's two instruments provide measurements that fill gaps in the Cassini mission's measurements and neither instrument requires global coverage to add significantly to our knowledge.  Even so, I worry about whether review teams will consider it compelling enough for a $6-700M mission (with launch costs).

One concern for a Europa multi-flyby mission would be acquiring coverage of both hemispheres.  To minimize radiation exposure, the mission likely would have its perijove, and hence maximum radiation exposure, at the orbit of Europa.  (If radiation was not an issue, the perijove could be inside the orbit of Europa and have encounters on both the inbound and outbound legs of its orbit to image Titan on both hemispheres.)  This makes it difficult to change the encounter geometry over a reasonable mission lifetime.  Gravity assists could be used to walk the perijove around, but that would entail additional costs for a mission operations staff and a longer flight.  (Editorial note: I was surprised at how expensive mission operations for the multiple gravity assists for an Enceladus orbiter would be -- it would be a substantial portion of the Principal Investigator's budget for a Discovery mission.)  Perhaps mission designers have a good solution to this problem.

If I can see issues with a possible mission, then a team of experienced scientists and mission planners will have seen them, too.  If an Europa Discovery mission has been proposed, it likely has clever solutions to these issues.

If ESA's Jupiter Ganymede Orbiter is selected for flight, then I hope it's mission would be enhanced to include a number of Europa flybys.  One mission designer I've talked to says that the additional cost likely would be low.  In this case, the mission is justified by the in-depth, global measurements at Ganymede.  Flybys of Callisto and Europa would make nice bonuses.

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Mars - The Political Dance

Putting together a new Mars 2018 mission that merges two rovers -- one each from ESA and NASA -- into one while preserving the capabilities of both likely will present numerous technical problems.  For ESA, it also presents political issues since ESA spending must be distributed according to national contributions to missions.  Space News has a nice article on the challenges ESA faces in putting together the right plan to meet its budgeting requirements.  While there is time to plan for the 2018 rover mission, this also impacts the joint 2016 Mars Trace Gas Orbiter mission for which time is short.  For NASA, the two missions are separate missions with separate budgets.  For ESA, this is a single program with a single budget.  Indications are that ESA wants to proceed with both missions, but needs to put together a plan for approval by its member nations in May.

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Discovery Icy-ocean Moon Missions?

The best hope for NASA missions to the icy-ocean moons of Jupiter and Saturn in the coming decade may lie in the low cost Discovery mission program.  In past posts, I've described two proposals that I understand were proposed for the current Discovery mission selection competition: the Titan Mare Explorer (TiME) lake lander and the Journey to Enceladus and Titan (JET) multiple flyby mission

In addition, I understand that the Io Volcano Observer (IVO) multiple flyby mission was also proposed.  As I listened to the recent Planetary Science Subcommittee meeting, I heard of a fourth proposal for a Discovery Europa mission mentioned in passing, but no details were given.

On one hand, it would seem that the prospects for Discovery missions to the outer planets are poor.  The Decadal Survey considered equivalent missions to TiME, JET, and IVO, and estimated their costs at $1.4 to ~$2B, including the launch vehicle.  That is well above the approximately $6-700M equivalent budget for Discovery missions.  The missions studied by the Survey generally were more capable than the Discovery proposals and in the short time available for the studies were not optimized to fit within a cost target.  So can more focused missions designed to cost make up the difference and allow outer planet exploration within a Discovery budget?

NASA's conditions for the current Discovery mission selection may be enabling for outer planet missions.  While the principal investigator's (PI) budget for the spacecraft, instruments, operations, and analysis is similar to previous selections ($425M for this selection), NASA now pays for the intermediate class launch vehicle outside of this cost.  This is an a significant boost to Discovery mission budgets.  (I don't follow launch costs, and so I'm not sure of how much is this adds to the effective budget.  $100-200M?)  The PI for IVO has said that this change changed the budget from tight under the old rules to doable under the new rules.

In addition to the launch vehicle, for this Discovery selection, NASA will to provide a plutonium ASRG generator to power the craft at no cost to the PI.  For missions beyond Jupiter, this would be an enabling technology.  For missions to Jupiter, an ASRG may be enabling (solar power is an option there), but could simplify spacecraft design.  For example, an Io multi-flyby mission with solar panels would require a scan platform to allow the solar panels to remain sun pointing and the instruments to point toward Io.  With an ASRG, the craft can skip this expense and use the entire spacecraft to point the instruments as the Cassini spacecraft does.  NASA previously has said that it intends to make ASRGs an option for every other Discovery selection, although I've not heard what they expect to do under the new post Decadal Survey plan to select Discovery missions more frequently (every two years instead of every 3-4 years).

Proposals for outer planet Discovery missions face two hurdles.  First, they must be credible and convince the review teams making the selection that they are technically and financially feasible within the Discovery budget.  Second, they must be compelling and offer better science than proposals to other destinations.  Here, the narrow focus and the long flight times (with operations costs of $7-10M per year, I've heard) may hurt.  JET, for example, carries two instruments that would significantly advance our knowledge of Titan and Enceladus.  Would a mission to, say, Venus or a comet with five or six instruments provide more compelling science for the dollar?

In the next few weeks, we should learn which three of the 28 proposals (including the outer planet proposals) will become finalists in the current selection for further study to eventually select the winning proposal.  If an outer planets mission is among the selections, that would suggest that outer planet Discovery missions are possible.  Unless an outer planets mission is eventually selected for flight, however, we won't have a conclusive answer to whether outer planet Discovery missions can clear these two hurdles.  The team that has proposed the OSIRIS-REX asteroid sample return New Frontiers mission, originally proposed a similar Discovery mission that was a finalist in a previous selection.  The team has reported that while they received top science scores (i.e., the mission was compelling) in the final analysis the mission was judged to be too expensive for the then Discovery mission budget limit.

Editorial Thoughts: I am encouraged by the teams that have proposed outer planet Discovery missions.  They include a long list of credible, experienced researchers in planetary exploration who have been around the block a few times.  If they are willing to put the time and energy into these proposals, then I feel there's reason for optimism balanced with the observation that outer planet missions inherently carry more costs than equivalent missions to the inner planets.  We may know more soon when the current finalists are announced.

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More on NASA's New Directions for Planetary Exploration

 As NASA has time to reflect on the implications of the now six week old Decadal Survey and its new budget projections, more details on planning for the coming decade are emerging.  The head of the Planetary Science Division gave the latest account of current plans at a meeting of NASA Advisory Council’s Planetary Science Subcommittee on April 18.

The laid out plans for Discovery and New Frontiers missions over the coming decade.  The announcement of opportunity (AO) that begins the selection process for the next Discovery mission should be in sometime in 2013 (~36 months after the previous AO).  After that, AO's should be issued every 24 months.  That will mean the selection of 4-5 new Discovery missions over the coming decade, including the the selection in progress.  New Frontiers AOs will continue to be issued every five years, with the next AO due around 2015.

Much of the presentation repeated information that I've presented in previous posts on the ramifications of the Decadal Survey's recommendations and NASA's budget.  A few tidbits from the presentation are:

  • From the presentation, it appears that the selection of three finalists for next Discovery mission will be in April/May.  Selection of the next New Frontiers mission apparently will be in May/June.
  • Planning of a new joint ESA/NASA Mars 2018 rover and sample cache mission is underway.  A key decision by ESA on whether to proceed or not will occur at a meeting on May 26/27.  Space News has an article on the early thinking behind a redesigned mission.  From the article, it appears that NASA would contribute $1.2B to the joint mission.  With ESA's contribution, this would be a mission on the financial scale of the Mars Science Laboratory planned for launch this year.
  • Restart of plutonium-238 production was not authorized in the continuing resolution funding NASA for the rest of FY11.
  • NASA's planetary science FY11 budget PSD likely to be around $1.4B versus the President's request of 1.486B
  • Technical studies for a smaller Europa mission will be done over the next two years.  Such a mission presumably would fly only if the budget picture improves sufficiently to add a Flagship mission to the budget.

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A Budget Shave

At long last, there is agreement on a budget for NASA for FY11 (just six months into the fiscal year).  For NASA's science program, the final agreement can be viewed as either an increase over FY10 ($4945M compared to last year's $4469M for an increase of $476M) or a small cut compared to the President's original FY11 budget proposal ($60M less).  I have not seen details on how the budget will be distributed within the Science program, but the Planetary program likely to make out relatively well.

Space Politics has more detail http://www.spacepolitics.com/2011/04/12/nasa-18-5-billion-in-full-year-cr/

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Rethinking Icy-ocean Moon Missions - Part 1

Several weeks before the release of the Decadal Survey’s report, a special meeting of the Outer Planet Analysis Group (OPAG) was scheduled for the week following the release.  It was the only one of the analysis groups (there are also ones for Venus, the moon, Mars, and small bodies) to schedule a special meeting.  It was a strong hint that the report was not going to have good news for the outer planets community. 

For several years, the exploration of the icy-ocean moons Ganymede, Europa, Titan, and Enceladus has been the highest priority of the outer planet research community.  The Survey attempted to enable a vibrant outer planets program with three flagship missions on the recommended list (Europa and Enceladus orbiters and a Uranus orbiter and probe mission) and Io and Saturn probe missions on the New Frontiers candidate list.  In plusher budget times, the outer planet program would have been a big winner.

In the new leaner budget times, if there was a category of missions that was loser in the collision between he Decadal Survey’s recommendations, and the new budget realities for NASA’s planetary program, it was the icy-ocean moon missions.  The flagship missions now appear unaffordable.  The Io and Saturn probe missions do not address the icy-ocean moons.  Now, further exploration of these moons rests on the European Space Agency’s (ESA’s) possible Ganymede orbiter that is in competition with two good astronomy/astrophysics missions for selection.

The OPAG report from the meeting following the Survey report may be a first step in asking NASA to look for new approaches to enabling the exploration of icy-ocean moons.  The official report strongly endorses the Decadal Survey recommendations.  (You can read the report at http://www.lpi.usra.edu/opag/mar2011/meetingReport.pdf).  The closest OPAG came to suggesting a re-examination was a request to pursue non-Flagship outer planet missions and to consider technology improvements that might enable Titan missions.

I listened to a good portion of the meeting, and there were several requests to see if it would be possible to add an icy-ocean mission to the list of New Frontiers candidate missions mid decade.  (Unlike the Discovery missions that can be proposed for any target, New Frontiers missions are selected from a candidate list.  Proposals for the ~$650M-$1B New Frontiers missions are so expensive to prepare that the list is kept short so that proposing teams can focus their resources.)  There is precedence for such a request to change the New Frontiers list.  The previous 2003 Decadal Survey recommended four candidate missions, and the list subsequently was expanded mid decade.  In addition, the new Survey report states that possible New Frontiers class missions to the icy-ocean moons were not prioritized (and Ganymede was dropped from the previous list) at least in part because of the priority given to a now unlikely Europa flagship mission. 

Any decision to re-examine the New Frontiers candidate list properly belongs several years in the future.   In my next post, however, I’ll start looking at tactics and missions that might enable continued exploration of these moons in the coming decade.

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More on Government Shutdown

The latest news reports that an agreement was reached at the last moment and there will be no government shutdown.

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With less than five hours to reach an agreement between deadlocked political parties, it looks increasingly likely that at least a short U.S. federal government shutdown will occur.  Space News has an article on NASA's shutdown plans that contains some good news.  While mission development generally will be suspended, contractors using previously obligated funds can continue their work.  Both planetary missions with critical launch windows, the Mars Science Laboratory and the Juno Jupiter orbiter, are being developed by JPL, a NASA contractor.  In the case of Juno, the spacecraft is being built by Lockheed Martin Space Systems, by a private contractor.  JPL and Lockheed Martin also are managing the development of the GRAIL lunar obiters.  Therefore, according to the article, work on these missions can proceed at least until NASA employees or NASA facilities would have to become involved.  The article does not address how launch preparation work would be effected, although I believe the actual launch services are provided by contractors.

In addition, mission operations will continue for all missions currently in flight.

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News

Several good articles out with interesting news on future planetary missions.

The first story potentially portends bad news for NASA's planetary program.  For readers living outside the U.S., the federal government has no authority to spend money if Congress has not passed and the President has not signed a budget for the current year.  We're more than halfway through FY11 without a budget, and the government has been operating on continuing resolutions with the current one set to expire tomorrow (Friday April 7).  The two political parties are at logger heads and it looks like the government may shut down as of Saturday.  Critical functions will continue to operate, including operation of all missions currently in flight.  According to NASA Watch, however, missions in development will cease development.

Editorial Thoughts: NASA has three missions -- the Mars Science Laboratory, the Juno Jupiter orbiter, and the GRAIL lunar mission -- in the late stages of preparation for launch this year.  If a shut down occurs and lasts long enough, NASA might not be able to complete preparations for launch this year.  The next opportunity to launch to Mars would come in approximately 26 months and to Jupiter in approximately 13 months.  Having to store these spacecraft and keep the mission teams together would be expensive.

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The BBC has an article on the early re-planning of the NASA-ESA 2018 rover mission.  The two agencies have confirmed that they will go ahead with the 2016 Mars Trace Gas Orbiter that would also serve as a communications relay for the 2018 mission.  Early thinking is to fly a single rover, larger than either the two rovers planned (see this BBC article on the issues leading up to the mission re-plan.)

Editorial Thoughts: The original mission plan had the ESA rover focused on sophisticated chemical analyses of samples drilled from up to two meters below the surface.  The NASA rover's primary task was to collect and cache samples, but it would have sophisticated instruments on its arm to investigate rocks and soil on the surface.  A rover that combines these capabilities would, in my opinion, be a kick ass mission.  The Mars Science Laboratory will explore the chemistry of Mars in-depth at one site; the 2018 mission would add a second site and subsurface sampling.

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Space Flight Now has an article on how rising costs of U.S. launchers, which NASA must use, are raising costs of NASA's science missions with the result that it can fly fewer missions.


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If you think that NASA's science programs are under stress (it's not just the planetary program -- the astronomy/astrophysics and Earth science programs also have budget problems), a Nature article reminds us of the bigger challenges NASA's manned spaceflight program are facing.  

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Whatever happened to...

The Decadal Survey studied a large number missions in depth and recommended only a handful as candidates for flight this coming decade.  Why were the rest not prioritized?  Going through the entire list can make for tedious reading (trust me, I did it).  However, there are some highlights that represented interesting trends. 


All quotes are from the Survey report.

Dropped to Maintain Balance


As I noted in the previous post (which was originally intended as just a sentence in this post), a key goal of the recommended program is maintain a balanced program.  If a target or class of targets already had a Flagship mission recommended, then other good missions to the same or similar targets were not prioritized.  Some examples:


Ganymede Orbiter—"This mission's primary science objectives are the characterization of the satellite's subsurface ocean, geology, magnetic field, and origin...  Consideration of the Ganymede Orbiter is deferred to the decade following 2013-2022 because of its lower science return per dollar relative to the JEO [Jupiter Europa Orbiter] mission, and because EJSM [Europa Jupiter System Mission] as currently envisioned would include an ESA-provided spacecraft to study Ganymede, making this mission largely redundant."


Mars Geophysical Network—"The primary science objectives of this mission are to characterize the internal structure, thermal state, and meteorology of Mars... Consideration of the Mars Geophysical Network is deferred to the decade following 2013-2022 because of its lower scientific priority relative to the initiation of the Mars sample return campaign. "


Enceladus orbiter - "...because of the broad similarity of its science goals to those of JEO, NASA should consider flying the Enceladus Orbiter in the decade 2013-2022 only if JEO is not carried out in that decade."

Not Enough Bang for the Buck


Neptune/Triton/KBO Mission - "The flyby mission architectures were deemed to achieve significant science progress since Voyager 2's visit of Neptune and offer the potential for new KBO science.  Even the simplest of the flyby missions exceeded the cost cap of a New Frontiers mission and offered low science return relative to its cost, it was deemed not compelling.  More complex missions and orbiters provided a vast gain in science objectives unavailable to flyby missions, but at increased cost; the highest performance option yielded a modest increase in estimated science value for its higher cost.  More detailed design work of a “sweet spot” mission design identified technical risks that make a Uranus mission more favorable for the coming decade.  Technology development will increase the feasibility of a future Neptune orbiter mission."


Titan Lake Probe-  "The exploration of Titan's hydrocarbon lakes has high scientific potential and the Titan lake lander concepts appear feasible.  However, based on the costs and the relatively limited science scope of a stand-alone lake probe without the orbiter and balloon elements, the stand-alone lake probe concepts were judged to be lower priority than a lake probe which was an element of a flagship mission, or some of the other mission concepts studied."


Technical or Mission Maturity Issues


Titan Lake Probe -  "The cryogenic environment and lack of heritage in lake probe design necessitates strategic investment in technology development, including cryogenic sample acquisition and handling."


Venus Tessera Lander - "The most significant challenges posed by this mission were related to the development of a high- TRL [technical readiness level for flight] level Raman/laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) system, safe landing, and testing at Venus environmental conditions. To reduce risk, advancements in two key technology areas are needed: first, verifying the Raman/LIBS implementation, calibrated operation, and sizing for the Venus surface environment, including high entry loads on the laser and second, additional analyses and testing to ensure safe landing in potentially rugged terrains (at lander scales)."


Mercury lander - "Because of the complex and challenging nature of this mission, a more detailed characterization study is recommended before moving forward with the Mercury Lander concept. Both SEP [solar electric propulsion] and ballistic trajectory approaches and concepts should be further explored with a more detailed mission design and concept definition to determine the preferred mission implementation approach. Currently each has benefits and risks that could not be fully characterized at this level of study."


Chiron orbiter - "Of the five propulsion options considered for trajectories into Chiron orbit, the all-chemical option did not deliver a viable payload. The two solar-electric and chemical propulsion options delivered useful masses with reduced science payloads. Finally, the two radioisotope-electric propulsion (REP) options delivered a viable payload capable of meeting all science requirements. However, the REP system will likely need more than the two ASRGs assumed available for this mission. This study demonstrated the need for continued investments in long-term communication infrastructure and propulsion technologies before such missions could be attempted."


Just Didn't Make the Cut


Lunar Polar Volatiles Explorer - "A lunar polar volatiles mission represents an important opportunity to study the nature, composition and dynamics of volatiles trapped in the frigid interiors of lunar polar impact craters. It also provides an opportunity to investigate polar volatiles, especially water ice, as a potential resource for future human exploration of the Moon and destinations beyond. Although such a mission retains a high science value, the polar crater environment presents a number of technical challenges, including rover survivability, sample collection and characterization, and navigation. Although some technical maturation is required, there remain no major impediments to such a mission within this decade. "


Editorial Thoughts



The loss of outer planet Flagship missions in the coming decade with new budget forecasts makes the choice to not prioritize the Ganymede Orbiter or an Enceladus mission unfortunate.  The icy-ocean moons have been the top priority for outer planet exploration, and now there are no viable missions in the candidate list for the coming decade.  If the Decadal Survey committees had known this ahead of time, they might have commissioned mission studies for highly focused flights to these worlds that might fit within the New Frontiers program.  For example, the recommended candidate Comet Sample Return mission has a cost estimate of $1.6B, which is near the cost for the Enceladus Orbiter at $1.9B.  There may have been ways to reduce missions costs for an Enceladus mission to come in within the range of the New Frontiers cost cap.

Note the technical issues mentioned for the Titan Lake Probe and the Venus Tessera Landers.  Similar missions are currently proposed for the Discovery and New Frontiers programs, respectively.  The proposers hopefully have good solutions to these issues; if not, this may not bode well for these proposals.

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